Betting on Joseph Woll appears to be a smart decision for the Leafs. Although the deal can’t be finalized until July 1st, ESPN’s Kevin Weekes reports that the Leafs and Woll are close to agreeing on a three-year extension worth $3.5-4 million annually. If true, this contract could be a savvy move by Brad Treliving.
While Woll’s limited NHL experience—just 39 games—might make the deal seem risky, the Leafs’ strategy is clear. They are counting on the 25-year-old to maintain his health and continue his upward trajectory. If he delivers, this contract could turn out to be an excellent investment.
This decision signifies a shift in the team’s approach following Kyle Dubas’s departure. Unlike Dubas, who favored a more patient strategy, Treliving is willing to invest in potential to secure value. If the deal goes through, Woll will be under team control for the next four years, including buying out two unrestricted free agency years. It’s comparable to Jake Oettinger’s three-year, $12 million contract with Dallas from 2022.
The risk is calculated: the Leafs are banking on Woll’s potential despite his relatively small sample size. Last season, he posted a 12-11-1 record with a 2.94 goals-against average and a .907 save percentage in 25 games. His ability to stay healthy will be crucial. If he does, the Leafs could gain significant value from this contract.
Locking him up now prevents the risk of having to pay significantly more if he performs exceptionally next season. In essence, this proactive move seems to be the right choice for the team.
