In the realm of preseason College Football Playoff projections, there are several teams being considered for potential at-large spots despite the possibility of having three losses. Historically, the selection committee has never admitted a team with more than one loss, but the expanded playoff format now allows for seven at-large entries, making the prospect of a three-loss team earning a spot more plausible. The primary factor influencing these chances is the strength of the team’s schedule, which can play a critical role in determining which teams remain in contention despite multiple losses.
Here’s a look at seven teams that could still make the playoff picture even if they end up with three losses:
Michigan Wolverines:
Michigan could remain in the playoff hunt with three losses if those losses are to top-ranked teams like Texas, Oregon, and Ohio State. With a challenging schedule featuring multiple top-five opponents, the Wolverines will need to perform exceptionally well in their remaining games and secure a Big Ten Championship appearance. A strong showing against Texas and a critical home game against USC in Week 4 will be pivotal.
Texas Longhorns:
Texas could still be a playoff contender with three losses if those come against tough opponents such as Michigan, Georgia, and Texas A&M, provided one of the losses occurs in the SEC Championship Game. Given
the depth of the SEC, a three-loss team from this conference might still make the playoff, especially if Texas can secure notable wins throughout the season. A key game will be the Red River Showdown against Oklahoma, which is crucial for their playoff hopes.
USC Trojans:
Despite potential losses to LSU, Michigan, and Penn State, USC could still be in the playoff mix. Even if the Trojans miss out on the Big Ten Championship, they could secure a playoff spot by ending the regular season strong, especially if they can win crucial games such as the one against Notre Dame.
Oregon Ducks:
For Oregon to remain in playoff contention with three losses, their defeats would need to be to high-caliber teams like Ohio State twice and Michigan. The Ducks’ chances would improve if Ohio State remains undefeated and Michigan struggles. Although it’s a long shot, it’s possible if Oregon performs well in other aspects of their season.
Alabama Crimson Tide:
Alabama’s historical prestige could work in their favor. Even with three losses to strong teams like Georgia, Tennessee, and LSU, Alabama might still secure a playoff berth due to their reputation and the quality of their wins. Their resume, including victories over teams like Wisconsin and Oklahoma, could be sufficient to make a case for their inclusion.
Georgia Bulldogs:
Despite a tough schedule that includes losses to teams like Alabama, Texas, and Ole Miss, Georgia could still make the playoffs. The expanded playoff system allows for more flexibility, and with a challenging schedule, the Bulldogs could still secure a spot with a strong finish to the season. Their performance in high-profile games and overall recruiting strength under Coach Kirby Smart enhance their playoff potential.
Florida Gators:
Florida faces a daunting schedule, but if they can manage to secure some significant wins against top-ranked teams despite three losses, they could still be considered for an at-large bid. Coach Billy Napier acknowledges the difficulty of their schedule but remains optimistic about the team’s ability to navigate the challenges and secure a spot with a strong finish.
These scenarios illustrate how the expanded playoff format could accommodate teams with multiple losses, provided they demonstrate resilience and strong performance throughout the season.
